Congratulations folks, it looks like my
National Swarm the Subway proposal has gotten off to a good start (although I will concede that my blog probably did not contribute to the actual happening). Back on May 17th I pondered what would happen if you crammed an absurd number of people onto our city's buses and trains, and the answer is that the media actually noticed. In the past two weeks there have been major stories about America's lacking mass transit systems from the
Washington Post, who calls our mass transit system
"glaringly, perilously inadequate"; the
New York Times reports that
"mass transit systems around the country are seeing standing-room-only crowds on bus lines where seats were once easy to come by. Parking lots at many bus and light rail stations are suddenly overflowing, with commuters in some towns risking a ticket or tow by parking on nearby grassy areas and in vacant lots." and
MSNBC writes,
"now that people are demanding service, there isn’t the infrastructure to provide it".

So now that the media is on board, the next step is pressuring government to make provide the money to build the long-overdue infrastructure. Specifically, we need to demand state-of-the-art rapid transit like the newer systems in Japan and China and even Mexico. The biggest challenge will be convincing government that the investment in this infrastructure is worth the cost. Those calculations are difficult to make, because on a dollars and cents basis, most transit systems will never see a nominal return on investment, and will probably rely on public funding, year after year, to break even; that is OK. The necessity of transit in the United States is linked deep into our economy, as the
Washington Post says:
"The fact that the vast bulk of transit ridership in the United States is concentrated in the 50 top metropolitan areas, which together account for almost two-thirds of economic activity in the United States, underscores the critical link between public transportation and American competitiveness. If America continues to neglect transit, it will stunt its own economic prospects."Of course spending billions developing a mass transit system that will never turn a profit seems wasteful to the casual observer; but cost/benefit analysis needs to take into account potential productivity gains and losses resulting in public transit systems (or lack thereof). Those calculations are difficult to make and to this point have been understudied, though they could bolster the already compelling argument for rapid transit development.
The
Washington DC Metro rail system should be example for which we develop future transit projects. Metro rail is without a doubt the sophisticated and successful post-WW2 rapid transit system in the United States, and a
study of its history reveals why. Metro was designed under the basis assumption that money is no object - the ultimate goal of the project being to build a world-class rapid transit system. Of course there is plenty of room for improvement and Metro has its fair share of problems (with well over a half million rides per day, minor problems are inevitable), but overall it is difficult to argue with the success of the system. An important question to ask is what Washington DC would look like if planners and policy makers had cheaped out and built an extremely half-ass transit system? The answer to that question is answered in most major cities in the United States.
When discussing costs of developing transit infrastructure, inevitably there are those who push for all-bus systems. The upfront cost to developing rapid transit is high - rail lines, stations, rail cars all cost money - but with buses, the roads are already there, all you need to do is throw some vehicles on them. In the short-term this is cheap, but its not an ideal solution. City buses simply aren't efficient - they have to fight the same traffic as cars, they have to stop at all the red lights, and the fare collection system is slow and difficult. Few cities have electric buses, so their bus fleets are subject to the wild diesel and natural gas price swings, which ultimately could endanger the health of the entire system. Light rail is slightly better, but still subject to traffic lights and vehicle traffic. In Dallas, their failure to dig their downtown portion of their light rail system under the city has led to a unique bid: either the system cannot be expanded any further, or downtown traffic (cars and buses) would be trapped by a non-stop flow of trains through the city-center. In Houston, whose light rail is built into busy city streets, has by far the highest crash rate of any rail system in the country.
The technology exists; there is proof that well-built rapid transit can be successful; the past month has demonstrated the major lack of infrastructure in our country; and the media is now on board with the cause. The next step is pressing government to invest in this development; this is a big deal - our future lifestyles and economic prosperity depend on it.